Live difficulty tracker
Bitcoin difficulty changed? Your solo-mining odds changed too.
Bitcoin difficulty adjusts every 2,016 blocks. When it moves, Bitaxe, NerdMiner, USB stick miner, and solo pool odds all need fresh math. This page watches the next retarget and routes you back into the calculator when the odds change.
Fetching the latest difficulty-adjustment estimate from mempool.space.
Rerun the block odds calculator Read the difficulty guide Share the difficulty angle
Why this can bring in new readers
Difficulty adjustment searches happen on a schedule. People look up the next retarget, see a percent move, then wonder what it means for their miner. Block Odds Lab should be waiting there with the practical answer: rerun the odds with current difficulty before buying, tuning, or posting old screenshots.
How to use the tracker
- If difficulty is estimated to rise, your odds get worse unless your hashrate rises too.
- If difficulty is estimated to fall, your odds improve slightly, but the lottery-mining reality check still applies.
- When the retarget is close, rerun the calculator instead of trusting old results.
- Use the tracker link in comments when someone asks why their old Bitaxe or NerdMiner odds changed.